Ford stock falls despite Q3 sales beat as it guides to lower end of 2024 profit forecast

Ford ( F ) reported third-quarter earnings after the bell on Monday, beating revenue but guiding to the downside of its full-year forecast. Ford’s results follow rival GM’s blowout Q3 result and third profit guidance boost for the year.

Ford reported revenue of $41.9 billion versus a Bloomberg estimate of $46.2 billion, down from the $47.8 billion reported last quarter, but up 5% from the $43.8 billion reported a year ago. Ford posted an adjusted EPS estimate of $0.49, with adjusted EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) of $2.6 billion. Ford net income came in at $900 million, hurt by a $1 billion one-time EV-related charge.

Ford cut its full-year profit forecast, with the automaker now adjusting EBIT to “around $10 billion” in 2024, down from the low end of its previous estimate of $10 billion to $12 billion. In a media call with reporters, Ford Vice Chair and CFO John Lawler cited “supplier disruptions” for lower sales of the Ford Pro and Ford Blue.

Ford stock fell more than 5% in after-hours trading.

“We have made strategic decisions and taken aggressive actions to create competitive advantages for Ford in key areas such as Ford Pro, international operations, software and next-generation electric vehicles,” Ford President and CEO Jim Farley said in a statement. As we bend the curve of quality, we have significant financial upside.

As part of its Ford+ program, Ford divided its business into three units: Ford Blue for the traditional gas-powered business, Ford Model e for the EV segment, and Ford Pro for its commercial and super truck business. Analysts expect the following for Q3:

  • Ford Blue: $26.2 billion in revenue, $1.627 billion in EBIT

  • Model E: $1.2 billion in revenue, – $1.224 billion in EBIT

  • Ford Pro: $15.7 billion in revenue, $1.814 billion in EBIT

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Ford expects full-year Model E losses to be around $5 billion, down slightly from the $5.5 billion previously forecast.

Ford’s Q3 US deliveries, reported earlier this month, rose 4.3% year-over-year to 504,039 vehicles, although they were still down from 536,050 vehicles delivered last quarter. Ford reported that EV sales, powered by the Ford Lightning pickup and Ford e-Transit van, rose 12% year-over-year. Ford hybrid vehicles are up 38% year-over-year, led by the Maverick pickup.

Unsold 2024 Mustang Mach-E electric utility vehicles sit at a Ford dealership in Denver on May 19, 2024. (AP Photo/David Zalupowski, File) ยท Associated Press

GM, on the other hand, has raised its guidance every quarter this year, and adjusted EBIT in other metrics to between $14 billion and $15 billion (previously $13 billion-$15 billion).

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